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Vol. 60. Issue 10.
Pages 634-642 (October 2024)
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Vol. 60. Issue 10.
Pages 634-642 (October 2024)
Original Article
Spirometric Transition of at Risk Individuals and Risks for Progression to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in General Population
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Yong Suk Joa, Chin Kook Rheea, Sang Hyuk Kimb, Hyun Leec, Joon Young Choid,
Corresponding author
tawoe@naver.com

Corresponding author.
a Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea
b Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Dongguk University Gyeongju Hospital, Dongguk University College of Medicine, Gyeongju, Republic of Korea
c Division of Pulmonary Medicine and Allergy, Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Republic of Korea
d Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea
Highlights

  • Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been shown to be a progressive disease with various precursors, including pre-COPD and preserved ratio and impaired spirometry (PRISm). These states were identified as potentially lead to COPD, but their lung function trajectories and risks associated with their progression were not fully understood.

  • This study reveals distinct trends in longitudinal lung function trajectories in patients with pre-COPD and PRISm. It identifies these conditions as significant risk factors for future COPD development. However, in PRISm patients, the concurrent presence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) should be considered.

  • Our findings emphasize the importance of early detection and intervention in individuals with pre-COPD and PRISm.

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Figures (5)
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Tables (3)
Table 1. Baseline characteristics.
Table 2. Cox regression for time-to-first AFO.
Table 3. Multivariate logistic regression for future AFO in normal, Pre-COPD and PRISm group.
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Additional material (1)
Abstract
Introduction

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a dynamic disease with a high socioeconomic burden. Using data collected prospectively from the general population, we examined factors related to the transition of at-risk individuals to COPD.

Methods

We used the Korean Genome Epidemiology Study (KoGES) database, defining pre-COPD based on respiratory symptoms and radiological abnormalities suggestive of COPD; the preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) was defined as a forced expiratory volume in 1s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity ratio70% and FEV1<80%, as predicted by spirometry. We determined group differences in the rate of lung function decline, risk of future airflow obstruction (AFO).

Results

The study included 4762 individuals, and longitudinal analysis revealed distinct trends in pulmonary function indicators. Compared to the normal group, the pre-COPD group showed a more rapid decline in lung function, while the PRISm group showed a slower decline. In the pre-COPD and PRISm groups, 4.4% and 3.5%, and 13.6% and 10.8%, respectively, of patients had progressed to COPD at the first and second visits. Pre-COPD and PRISm contributed to an earlier time to first AFO, but consideration of comorbid cardiovascular disease weakened this relationship in the PRISm group. Multivariate logistic regression showed that pre-COPD and PRISm are significant risk factors for future development of COPD (OR 1.80, p<0.001; OR 4.26, p<0.001, respectively).

Conclusion

Pre-COPD and PRISm patients showed different trends in lung function changes over time and both were significant risk factors for future development of COPD.

Keywords:
Pre-COPD
PRISm
COPD
Transition
Lung function
KoGES

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